What matters
The problem comes before the model.
- Relay and contextualisation of official VONA notices.
- Fusion of seismic, tremor, thermal and event-history signals.
- Probabilistic nowcasts and forecasts kept separate from purely indicative atmospheric trajectories.
Lab Intelligence approach
Sources, assumptions, checks, versions, metrics and limitations remain visible. A more complex technique is used only when it adds value over an understandable baseline.
How the method works →Related workflows
Examples already documented.
These pages describe implementations or experiments from the laboratory; they do not imply that the same result transfers automatically to another context.
Etna Sentinel
Automated relay of official VONA notices plus an educational wind-transport simulation combining INGV, Open-Meteo, NASA FIRMS/GIBS, pressure-level trajectories, infrastructure proximity and safety gates.
Open project →WF-5Satellite
A public Etna event triggers multi-source fusion and two indicative 12-hour atmospheric trajectories.
Open project →WF-7Etna Forecast
24-hour and 5-day probabilistic nowcasting with public multimodal data, strong baselines, a modality gate and declared degradation.
Open project →WF-17Etna Fusion Lab
Fuses tremor, seismicity, thermal signals and event history with quality-adjusted weights; separates the 1h/6h Activity Nowcast from the 1d/5d VONA ash-positive forecast and keeps a prospectively verifiable ledger.
Open project →Want to discuss a similar case?
Describe the problem and expected result in non-confidential terms. The first step is to identify the data, criteria and limitations that would make the case verifiable.