WF-11 · Hydrogen Route Observatory

Hydrogen Route Observatory

Compares grey SMR, SMR+CCS and electrolysis using public/configured energy prices, chemical balances, emissions boundaries and break-even thresholds.

WF-11ChemistryscheduledExperimental
Variable cost, modelled LCOH, operational intensity, CO₂/power/gas/PPA thresholds and sensitivities.

Plain-language summary

What it solves
Hydrogen is much discussed, but the real costs of the three production routes are rarely compared.
Who it can serve
Anyone assessing hydrogen projects, and anyone teaching techno-economic analysis.
What it produces
The cost of each route and the price thresholds at which one becomes cheaper than another.
Skip to the technical detail
1 · In one sentence

Compares grey SMR, SMR+CCS and electrolysis using public/configured energy prices, chemical balances, emissions boundaries and break-even thresholds.

2 · Why it exists

Compare industrial hydrogen routes reproducibly without mixing observed prices, scenarios and plant assumptions.

3 · What it produces

Variable cost, modelled LCOH, operational intensity, CO₂/power/gas/PPA thresholds and sensitivities.

The cards expose multiple views of the same workflow so result, method, evidence and history remain distinct.

Updated output from the repository.
Updated output from the repository.
Updated output from the repository.
Updated output from the repository.

4 · How it works

Physical balance + prices + carbon policy + sensitivity

1EEX→BFE TTF with quality/provenance gate, Italian bidding-zone day-ahead power via Energy-Charts→euenergy/ENTSO-E, EUA and grid-carbon-intensity scenario; typed HHV/LHV SMR/CCS/electrolysis parameters
2deterministic calculation; Current Variable Cost and LCOH; state-aware break-even
3physical/dimensional invariants, sourcing coherence, lineage, snapshot replay
4Persistence, rendering and governed publishing.

5 · Data and signals

ElementDetail
Data and signalsEEX→BFE TTF with quality/provenance gate, Italian bidding-zone day-ahead power via Energy-Charts→euenergy/ENTSO-E, EUA and grid-carbon-intensity scenario; typed HHV/LHV SMR/CCS/electrolysis parameters
Industrial transferabilityroute economics, make-or-buy scenarios and decarbonisation
Researchemissions boundaries, sensitivity and break-even robustness
Interpretation conditionPPA is a scenario; no site-specific cost representation
6 · Inference / calculation

deterministic calculation; Current Variable Cost and LCOH; state-aware break-even

7 · Validation

physical/dimensional invariants, sourcing coherence, lineage, snapshot replay

8 · Automation and stack

Python, NumPy, pandas, SciPy, Matplotlib, SQLite, PyYAML

9 · Limitations

mistaking PPA scenarios or mismatched emissions boundaries for observed facts

Workflow technical dossier

Methods, checks, stack and transferability conditions.

Data and signals

EEX→BFE TTF with quality/provenance gate, Italian bidding-zone day-ahead power via Energy-Charts→euenergy/ENTSO-E, EUA and grid-carbon-intensity scenario; typed HHV/LHV SMR/CCS/electrolysis parameters

Inference / calculation

deterministic calculation; Current Variable Cost and LCOH; state-aware break-even

Validation

physical/dimensional invariants, sourcing coherence, lineage, snapshot replay

Stack

Python, NumPy, pandas, SciPy, Matplotlib, SQLite, PyYAML

Limitations

mistaking PPA scenarios or mismatched emissions boundaries for observed facts

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